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The Grand Exchange / Runebay
There have been a few predictions about the soon to be introduced Grand Exchange, I am so surprised that people are more concerned about the Assist system that was introduced recently than the Grand Exchange.
The assist system has not affected the gameplay much and in the long term it will have almost no impact on playability.
The grand exchange however has the potential to destroy the economy and make life for low to middle level players more difficult, unless there are limitations to the amount of item groups for sale or time limits then the poor people of Runescape will stay poor for a lot longer than high level players.
When the system is introduced I predict that prices for everything will drop, some quite drastically, this is likely because it is new and people want to sell stuff to see it work, I then expect normal supplies for skills to rise back to probably a bit lower than they were before.
The problem is going to be things like rune weapons, helms and other monster drops, this is very likely to hit the lower level players, the reason I think this will happen is because high level players get loads of rune drops, some are high alched on site other are stock piled, for example I have 20 pairs of rune boots, I don't need any because I have 8 pairs of dragon boots, the reason I don't sell them is because I don't need the money and I cant be bothered to spend hours in a bank selling them, when the Grand Exchange comes what is to stop me putting them all on there for 50K, the current price for rune boots is 70K to 90K,, I don't need the cash so provided I get more than the cash alch price im on to a winner.
Looking at it from a low to mid level players eyes, they have trained slayer they don't have much cash and killing nechs they get a pair of rune boots, the price was 70K but there are thousands of players selling for 50K what is the chance of them getting 70k for their boots that they have trained hard for.
To give you an idea of the extent this problem is going to be, I have 90 rune axes, I have 50 rune pics, 30 sets of full rune, I am just 1 person I happen to know that many high level players have similar collections of items, for everyone to put up all their items in 1 go they will need to be all the same price or you will need to beat the next persons price to get the sale, can a new player who got his first rune axe compete on price with a player who has hundreds and only really interested in getting more than the alch price?
I am determined to find away that Jagex may incorporate to avoid this problem, my ideas so far.
1/ a time limit, allocating a 1 or 2 hour slot for each item listed will prevent people listing all their items for eternity, having to realist regularly will put many people off.
2/ Allow a maximum number of groups of items for sale at 1 time, say 5 groups of items, this will allow a full set of barrows, or 1000 prayer pots, 500 iron ores and 3 other groups of items, this will also stop people from putting their entire bank on there to save bank space or to sell all their rubbish like tinderboxes, bronze axes etc.
It sounds like a great idea and I cant wait to see it, I know Jagex will have ways to prevent the collapse of civilization as we know it, I will watch with interest to see if any of my predictions come true
I suggest you sell all your spare valuable items now ready for the mass price drop or you can wait until the prise returns to around normal afterwards.
4 comments
P.S. maybe the cost of nats will drop :).
However i hope like you say there is a maximum "shop space" per player 5 sounds a good amount as you can sell full sets of armour, However we will have to wait and see what jagex have up their sleave.
When I get a rune battle axe as a drop I can alch or sell it for a little more than the alch price, If I get a rune full helm I will sell it for more than the alch price, if people are selling for any price I can under cut them as long as I get more than the alch price, I don't want to hang on to the items I don't need the money I stick it on the great exchange for 1k more than the alch price im onto a winner.
Rune drops are common when you attack the higher level monsters, If I am short of inventory space I will alch, if not I will stick it on GE when I get back.
There are lots of high level players who are happy for a quick sale for a little extra cash, these players are the players who normally stock pile items because they cant be bothered to sell them, now the GE is coming they don't need to collect them just stick them on GE for a low price.
I could hold out and put a reasonable price on items but someone out there wont care and just put rock bottom price.
This is all just speculation, Jagex are clever and hopefully have some mechanism to safeguard prices, either way it is going to make a big impact on the game, prices will stabilise maybe higher but more likely lower than before. we will all need to adapt to the way it goes.